Podcast
Global Macro Research

Could a capital war be the next big risk for the global economy?

From tariff threats to financial restrictions, global tensions are entering a new phase. Aberdeen's expert economists break down what’s at stake and why it matters now.

Authors
Chief Economist
Deputy Chief Economist
Senior Political Economist
Word map with numbers and locations highlighted

Date: 18 Feb 2026

As global politics becomes more fractious, the debate is moving beyond tariffs and trade barriers. Increasingly, policymakers are focusing on the movement of capital — and the power it gives them. This episode of the Macro Bytes podcast from Aberdeen Investments examines this shift. 

Since Donald Trump returned to office in January last year, tariffs — taxes on imports used to influence trade and protect domestic industries — have frequently made headlines, as the US President begins to reshape global trade.

Paul, Luke and Lizzy discuss how a capital war could be the next stage; how the EU may have leverage over the US; the prospect of European institutions dumping US Treasuries; and whether the US capital account surplus is really a chokepoint trading partners could exploit. 

Listen to the full discussion here:

You can listen to more episodes of Macro Bytes on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.

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